29/Aug/07

After a good day let's see what I can do today... Champions League: FC Kopenhagen v Benfica - To qualify / Pick Benfica @1.45 Dinamo Zagreb v Werder Bremen - To qualify / Pick Werder Bremen @1.40 French League Metz v Bordeaux Pick X2 Le Mans v Paris Pick 1X @1.72 Danish Cup Jaegersborg IF v Hvidovre Pick 2 @1.30 Uefa Cup (30 aug) Lens v Young Boys Pick 1 @1.45 Balance: +0.5

28/Aug/07

Two carling cup games and one Champions League qualifying. Wrexham v Aston Villa Pick 2 @1.45 Shrewsbury v Fulham Pick 2 @1.65 The difference between leagues is huge so even if the big teams play with one or two reserves they should win. Liverpool v Toulouse Pick 1 @1.33 Liverpool in the Champions League always plays better then in domestic competitions. And they can certainly beat Toulouse at home. Daily Balance: +1.43 All odds from:

Special - Portuguese Draws

Every year the portuguese league is getting more balanced, not better, just balanced. So the number of draws is increasing. In the 1st round 4 out of 8 games were draws. So this round I will bet draw in all 8 games. This round is even better for draws as there are usually 3 games that are not that balanced, those involving Sporting, Porto and Benfica but this round there's a Porto Vs Sporting that makes it even more likely to have draws. Benfica v Guimarães @4.5 Belenenses v Braga @3.15 Academica v U.Leiria @3.10 Estrella Amadora v Naval @3.15 Pacos Ferreira v Leixoes @3.40 Boavista v Maritimo @3.20 FC Porto v Sporting Lisabon @3.15 Setubal v Nacional De Madeira @3.15 And now we wait until Monday... Edit: What a great experiment this was!! Experiment balance: +6.15 All odds from:

27/Aug/07

I hate bankers... But I will use one today. All bets will be doubles with this game. Mirnyi M. v Baghdatis M. Pick 2 @1.13 And here are the picks: FK Teplice v Slovan Liberec Pick 1 Double @2.26 Aldershot Town v Crawley Town Pick 1 Double @2.03 KV Mechelen v Club Brugge Pick 2 Double @1.98 Djurgården v Kalmar FF Pick 1 Double @1.92 Edit: There's a reason why I hate bankers... I always seem to loose them... All odds from:

26/Aug/07

Eintr. Frankfurt v Hansa Rostock Pick 1 @1.72 Lyon v St. Etienne Pick 1 @ 1.50 Worst start for Lyon in 10 years! They have to start winnig if they want to keep their supremacy in frande. And with the Champions League is in the horizon... Racing Santander v FC Barcelona Pick 2 @ 1.50 Handicap was also a possibility but lets keep it simple. Middlesbrough v Newcastle 0:0 [AH] Pick 2 @ 1.95 Result: DRAW Stakes refunded. Manchester Utd v Tottenham Pick 1 @1.55 Manchester can't loose any more points. Daily Balance:+0.77 All odds from:

25/Aug/07

We're back! And the last post was very bad... só let's try to do better today. Leicester City v Watford Asian Handicap Pick 2 @2.02 Strasbourg v Lens Pick 1X @1.35 All odds from:

15 Aug, 16 Aug and holidays

Borisov v Steaua Bucuresti Pick 2 to keep a clean sheet @1.85 BATE Borisov v Steaua Bucuresti Pick 2 Atletico Madrid v Vojvodina Novi Sad Pick 1 @2.16 FC Sevilla v AEK Athens Pick 1 Atletico Madrid v Vojvodina Novi Sad Pick 1 @1.54 Ajax Amsterdam v Slavia Praha Pick 1 @1.40 CFR Cluj v Anorthosis Famagusta Pick 1 @1.40 Dnjepr Dnjepropetrovsk v GKS Belchatow Pick 1 @1.40 And today I leave for a one week holidays so the results will probably not be updated until I return. One out of six... No lunch to me today... All odds from:

14/Aug/07

Falla A. v Blake J. Pick 2 Wawrinka S. v Hewitt L. pick 2 @1.42 Benfica v FC Kopenhagen @1.50 Benfica v FC Kopenhagen 0:1 1/4 [AH] Pick 1 @2.10 (Half Refunded/Half Lost) Benfica can't fail today. After Everton convinced Manuel Fernades not to show up for this decisive game (nice way to do business there goes the British manners) Benfica must win and show everyone (especially Fernandes that is so eager to leave for a mid-table club) that is one of the top clubs in the world. Benfica beated Kopenhagen 3-1 last season in the groups stage of the champions league and they can do it again today. The team as been reinforced especially in the attack with a new striker, Oscar Cardozo for 9M euros that will certainly try to score in is first official game. Also keep an eye ouy for Freddy Adu the wonder kid that is expected do start on the bench but will certainly play in second half. Daily Balance: +0.42 Note: The blog's "one bet one unit" model showed some problems today. I actually made much more profit on my betting account than on the blog because my bet on Benfica without the handicap was twice as high as the bet with handicap. Because of this, if this kind of bets happens again I may make a bet with doubled stakes so to cover the possible losses of the handicap match. All odds from:

13/Aug/07

Not much as tomorrow is Champions League day. Stabæk v Start Kristiansand Pick 1 @1.70 Melzer J. v Karlovic I. Pick 2 Moya C. v Nalbandian D. Pick 2 Haas T. v Ancic M. Pick 1 (14/aug but I needed it for the combo) All doubles. Odds: @2.40 @2.13 @2.00 Daily Balance: -4 All odds from:

12/Aug/07

Manchester Utd v Reading Pick 1 (handicaps are a good bet too...) Sharapova M. v Petrova N. Pick 1 (Let's go Maria!) Cancelled New (whimpy) odds @1.20 Randers FC v OB Odense Pick 1X @1.53 NE Revolution v Los Angeles Pick 1 @1.73 Federer R. v Djokovic N.- Djokovic to win at least one set. @1.95 Way to go Djokovic!! Road to Number One!! Daily Balance: +1.21 All odds from:

11/Aug/07

Lets try to do best than last day: Sharapova M. v Dementieva Pick 1 @1.28 Nottingham Forest v Bournemouth Pick 1 Bayern München v Hansa Rostock Pick 1 @1.82 Sunderland v Tottenham Pick X2 I was still celebrating that min. 89 save by Robinson and Sunderland scored at 93... Bayern München v Hansa Rostock Pick 1 @1.54 Slovan Bratislava v AS Trencin Pick 1 Bayern München v Hansa Rostock Pick 1 @1.68 Toulouse v Lyon Pick 2 @1.83 FC Porto v Sporting Lisabon Pick 1X @1.32 Daily balance: -3.02 (very, very bad...) By the way, when one odd looks too good to be true, it usualy is... All odds from:

10/Aug/07

Only one bet for now, I will try to find something more in the morning. Buyuksehyr v Fenerbahçe Pick: 2 @1.40 It's the champion playing against a newly promoted team. It should be a easy win. And Buyuksehyr is also from Istanbul so it's not really an "away" game (I bet most of the crowd will be Fenerbahçe fans...) Update: Now that was unexpeted... Daily Balance: -1 All odds from:

Day 1

So here are the first picks: Tennis combo: Hewitt L. v Hrbaty D. Pick 1 Federer R. v Fognini F. Pick 1 Sharapova M. v Krajicek M. Pick 1 Mathieu P-H. v Nadal R. Pick 2 Bammer S. v Jankovic J. Pick 2 @1.65 Tennis Single: Nalbandian D. v Djokovic N. Pick 2 @1.40 Football single: Albinoleffe v Sampdoria Pick X2 @1.21 Results will be posted as the games finish. Good Luck. It was the perfect start!! Daily Balance: + 1.26 (this means that if every bet was $1 you would end up a $1.26 profit) All odds from:

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Starting

Ok it's the beginning of a new football season and the start of a new era for this blog. After a couple of years of betting (and a life of sports watching) I’m getting pretty good at it so I decided to start a blog to share my picks with the world. This blog is like a version 2.0 of my last betting blog because I now decided to write in English so I can reach a larger audience. So this is how it’s going to work: -All bets are going to be worth one unit. -Most bets will be football (soccer if you’re American) bets. -I will try to make the picks and the outcomes as clear as I can. -For the time being and since we’re only starting, there will be no long term tracking of the results. I hope everyone enjoys this blog and I hope I can help you make some money or at least have some fun betting.